Mérida CP vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
BAL
2 - 0
MER
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1971 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
MER
3 - 0
CDB
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MER
2 - 2
ADL
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
VIL
5 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
MEL
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
POR
0 - 1
RJA
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
XER
1 - 0
RJA
61%
24%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |