AD Mérida vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 0
UDS
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAD
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAD
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 1
MAD
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 0
VRU
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VRU
1 - 1
EXT
21%
26%
53%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
VRU
2 - 2
CDB
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
VRU
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DBN
3 - 1
VRU
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |