AD Mérida vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAD
65%
21%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 0
JUM
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 3
PEÑ
55%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BET
0 - 1
MAD
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
MAD
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
ALM
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CRD
2 - 1
RJA
25%
32%
43%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RJA
1 - 2
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |