AD Mérida vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAD
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RMC
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 3
ALM
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
MAD
67%
20%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROD
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
FUE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
LOR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 0
LOR
81%
15%
5%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |