AD Mérida vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JER
0 - 0
MAD
16%
23%
62%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAD
3 - 2
ADL
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDD
0 - 3
MAD
13%
22%
65%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAD
5 - 0
VAL
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 0
MAD
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
COR
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
CPC
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
PLA
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |