Merelinense vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FAF
0 - 1
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MER
9 - 2
MON
86%
10%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
4 - 0
ARO
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
ADO
27%
24%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 0
TOR
39%
25%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATA
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 0
TOR
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |