Merelinense vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
FEL
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 2
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PED
1 - 2
MER
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
TAI
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
RDA
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TAI
86%
9%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VIZ
3 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
PED
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |