Campeonato de Portugal Group A Round 17

Merelinense vs Mirandela analysis

Merelinense Mirandela
46 ELO 36
-0.6% Tilt -4.1%
21409º General ELO ranking 8609º
345º Country ELO ranking 211º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Merelinense
18.7%
Draw
11.2%
Mirandela

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
Merelinense
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
Mirandela
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merelinense
+9%
-20%
Mirandela

ELO progression

Merelinense
Mirandela
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merelinense
Merelinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2017
PON
Ponte da Barca
0 - 1
Merelinense
MER
12%
17%
71%
46 26 20 0
08 Jan. 2017
PED
Pedras Salgadas
0 - 2
Merelinense
MER
17%
24%
59%
45 32 13 +1
18 Dec. 2016
MER
Merelinense
2 - 0
Os Limianos
OSL
71%
18%
11%
45 33 12 0
11 Dec. 2016
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 1
Merelinense
MER
44%
26%
31%
45 45 0 0
04 Dec. 2016
MER
Merelinense
3 - 1
Oliveirense
ADO
29%
26%
45%
42 50 8 +3

Matches

Mirandela
Mirandela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2017
MIR
Mirandela
1 - 0
Os Limianos
OSL
54%
24%
23%
36 31 5 0
08 Jan. 2017
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
3 - 0
Mirandela
MIR
64%
22%
14%
37 46 9 -1
18 Dec. 2016
MIR
Mirandela
0 - 0
Oliveirense
ADO
18%
24%
58%
36 49 13 +1
11 Dec. 2016
TOR
Torcatense
3 - 1
Mirandela
MIR
42%
24%
34%
37 35 2 -1
04 Dec. 2016
MIR
Mirandela
1 - 1
Montalegre
MON
55%
22%
23%
38 33 5 -1