Merelinense vs Forjães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 2
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
VIA
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
MER
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
PED
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forjães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
FOR
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
OSL
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
MER
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
VIA
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |