Merelinense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 2
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 5
MER
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
MIR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 0
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
FAF
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 0
ATA
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 1
FAF
10%
20%
70%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
AMA
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |