Merelinense U19 vs Varzim U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
8º
4º
39
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
MER
19%
19%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
MER
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
CHA
22%
21%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSL
1 - 3
VAR
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 0
MIR
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
VAR
23%
21%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |