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Promotion Belgium. VFV A, Matchday 28

Merelbeke vs Zelzate analysis

Merelbeke Zelzate
49 ELO 46
51% Tilt 69%
1022º General ELO ranking 1217º
51º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Merelbeke
19.6%
Draw
26.5%
Zelzate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Merelbeke
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.5%
Win probability
Zelzate
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merelbeke
+39%
+39%
Zelzate

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Merelbeke
59
59
100%
Wetteren-Kwatrecht
57
57
100%
Voorwaarts Zwevezele
55
55
100%
Pepingen
51
51
100%
Wingene
49
49
100%
Zelzate
47
47
50%
Avanti
47
47
50%
RC Lebbeke
44
44
100%
Svelta Melsele
41
41
100%
Jong Lede
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Wolvertem Merchtem
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Torhout
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Oostkamp
13º
31
31
13º
100%
Eendracht Wervik
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Kampenhout
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Woluwe
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Merelbeke
Zelzate
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Merelbeke
MER
Zelzate
ZEL
Kampenhout
KAM
RC Lebbeke
RCL
Jong Lede
JON
Torhout
TOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merelbeke
Merelbeke
1%
X%
2%
ELO MER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
AVA
Avanti
0 - 1
Merelbeke
MER
45%
27%
29%
909 768 -141 0
31 Mar. 2019
MER
Merelbeke
0 - 0
Pepingen
PEP
54%
25%
21%
910 602 308 0
23 Mar. 2019
WET
Wetteren-Kwatrecht
2 - 3
Merelbeke
MER
53%
25%
22%
909 1049 140 +1
17 Mar. 2019
MER
Merelbeke
1 - 1
Svelta Melsele
SVE
53%
25%
22%
909 766 143 0
10 Mar. 2019
HWM
Wolvertem Merchtem
1 - 0
Merelbeke
MER
46%
27%
28%
910 822 -88 -1

Matches

Zelzate
Zelzate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
ZEL
Zelzate
5 - 1
Woluwe
WOL
60%
22%
18%
795 306 489 +1
30 Mar. 2019
VOO
Voorwaarts Zwevezele
3 - 1
Zelzate
ZEL
47%
27%
26%
795 838 43 -1
24 Mar. 2019
ZEL
Zelzate
1 - 1
Jong Lede
JON
41%
28%
32%
795 961 -166 0
16 Mar. 2019
RCL
RC Lebbeke
0 - 1
Zelzate
ZEL
51%
26%
23%
795 928 133 +1
09 Mar. 2019
EEN
Eendracht Wervik
0 - 3
Zelzate
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
794 876 82 +1