Mercurio vs Ponte Carreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Carreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
PCA
0 - 5
MAR
27%
24%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VOR
1 - 5
PCA
80%
12%
8%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PCA
0 - 7
ONC
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
PCA
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PCA
2 - 3
XCC
21%
20%
60%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |