Mercadal vs Ud Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
PBL
20%
25%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AND
4 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
CDE
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PCE
3 - 0
MER
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ud Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UDC
0 - 3
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SNF
1 - 0
UDC
36%
25%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UDC
1 - 1
PXD
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MNU
1 - 1
UDC
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SRF
1 - 1
UDC
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |