Merani Tbilisi vs Guria Lanchkhuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
MET
2 - 0
FCM
44%
26%
29%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 3
WIT
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
GAR
0 - 1
FCM
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 1
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCM
45%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guria Lanchkhuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
GUR
0 - 4
KAK
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
GUR
1 - 0
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
WIT
1 - 1
GUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
GUR
2 - 0
GAR
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
GUR
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |