Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
CD Mensajero vs Tenisca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CDP
2 - 1
CDM
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SDT
0 - 1
CDM
60%
23%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CDM
1 - 0
LLA
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
CDM
5 - 0
CDS
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
LPA
4 - 1
CDM
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tenisca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SDT
1 - 0
LAG
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SDT
0 - 1
CDM
60%
23%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
COR
0 - 0
SDT
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
GUI
3 - 1
SDT
33%
28%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
SDT
1 - 0
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |