Mels vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
KRE
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
2 - 3
MEL
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
FRE
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALT
42%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
SEU
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
UST
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
KRE
3 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
6 - 3
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 5
GOS
25%
23%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
MAR
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |