Melksham Town vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
17º
17º
59
4º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 74.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
EVE
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEM
2 - 2
MEL
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 0
MEL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 3
CRI
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MAF
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 0
WUN
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BEM
4 - 2
BRI
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 3
TAV
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
BIS
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EXM
2 - 3
BRI
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |