Melksham Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
8º
20º
12º
55
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
LAR
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LYM
3 - 2
MEL
24%
21%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 1
MEL
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 1
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
PAU
56%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
16%
73%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WUN
2 - 1
BAS
15%
16%
69%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
AFT
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |