Melita vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
5º
5º
60
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZEJ
2 - 2
MEL
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 3
MEL
36%
26%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
TAR
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 3
MOS
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLI
3 - 1
NAX
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAX
3 - 0
ZUR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 3
NAX
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 0
ZEJ
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUD
2 - 1
NAX
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |