Melita vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 3
GZI
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
MEL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 3
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
5 - 1
PIE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
BIR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
BIR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
ZAB
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 3
BIR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
BIR
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |