UD Melilla vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 1
POL
34%
30%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
XER
3 - 1
MEL
68%
21%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 2
REC
36%
30%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CPC
3 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VEL
0 - 3
RJA
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 0
VEL
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAD
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CCF
2 - 1
VEL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
VEL
0 - 0
GAL
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |