UD Melilla vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 3
ULP
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ULP
1 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
IMP
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 2
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ROQ
2 - 4
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
JER
2 - 6
SRQ
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 0
LOR
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CIU
2 - 0
SRQ
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
2 - 0
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 2
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |