UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ECI
2 - 2
MEL
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
UCA
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPC
0 - 0
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BET
1 - 3
MEL
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROD
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 3
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |