UD Melilla vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
TAL
2 - 1
MEL
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 0
SEV
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BAL
1 - 0
MEL
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MEL
0 - 0
CAD
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
29%
31%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
JER
1 - 0
CPC
51%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MAN
3 - 1
JER
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
JER
0 - 1
GRA
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BET
2 - 2
JER
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
JER
0 - 0
DHE
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |