UD Melilla vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 2
MEL
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MOT
1 - 0
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
AMA
0 - 0
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
JER
2 - 2
DBN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
MON
1 - 1
JER
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
JER
0 - 0
ARC
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CEU
1 - 0
JER
80%
16%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 2
JER
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |