UD Melilla vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
BAZ
3 - 2
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
MEL
5 - 1
ATA
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
EST
2 - 3
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
ILI
2 - 2
MEL
53%
26%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
CAR
0 - 0
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
MOT
1 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAI
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
UCF
3 - 7
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
18%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |