Melgacense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JOA
2 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
FAO
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 2
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 3
MAR
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |