Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
CCM
2 - 5
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 2
ADE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 2
SYD
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
WPH
1 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
WPH
3 - 0
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
WPH
1 - 2
ADE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |