Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 2
MEL
35%
27%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 3
CCM
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 4
MEL
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 2
MEL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
CCM
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 1
ADE
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |