Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
4 - 0
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 0
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
4 - 0
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |