Melbourne Heart vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
CCM
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
WPH
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WES
1 - 1
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
KAW
2 - 1
WES
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CCM
2 - 1
WES
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WES
3 - 0
PER
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
WES
1 - 0
KAW
36%
23%
41%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |