Melbourne Heart vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
WES
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |