Melbourne Heart vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
GOL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 0
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 3
CCM
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
3 - 2
ADE
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |