Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
5 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
2 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
MCI
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 1
WPH
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
WES
2 - 1
MCI
30%
25%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CCM
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |