Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
30
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
SYD
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 4
MCI
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
6 - 1
MFC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
CCM
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |