De Meern vs ZOB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
47.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+170%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
6º
37
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 1
DEM
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DEM
3 - 0
ROD
16%
18%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VVM
2 - 2
DEM
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DEM
4 - 3
OLY
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
DEM
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
HBO
54%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
ZOB
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ARG
59%
19%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
3 - 1
FCD
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 2
ZOB
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |