De Meern vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NUT
0 - 2
DEM
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEM
3 - 0
SJC
65%
18%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
STO
2 - 2
DEM
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
DEM
3 - 1
DEK
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DEM
5 - 1
SOE
83%
12%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PUR
1 - 1
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALP
2 - 1
PUR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 1
WOE
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ELI
2 - 2
PUR
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 0
SDO
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |