Medeama vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Medeama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 2
MED
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MED
0 - 0
BOF
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MED
1 - 0
AGO
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
MED
8%
16%
77%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
MED
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 2
CCF
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CCF
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
URA
2 - 4
ALA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
ALA
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |