Mdina Knights vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SIG
3 - 2
MDI
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MDI
2 - 2
KIR
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MDI
0 - 1
GHA
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
MDI
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MDI
2 - 4
PAT
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MQA
2 - 3
SAN
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
SIG
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
KIR
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GHA
1 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |