Mdina Knights vs Kalkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
MDI
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MDI
1 - 6
PAT
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MDI
1 - 1
XGH
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIR
6 - 0
MDI
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GHA
6 - 2
MDI
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kalkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
BIR
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MQA
4 - 2
KAL
31%
22%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 4
RAB
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 0
KAL
48%
23%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 2
ZAB
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |