MC Alger vs USM Annaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
SET
1 - 0
ALG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
ALG
0 - 0
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALG
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2002 |
ORA
1 - 1
ALG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2002 |
JSK
0 - 0
ALG
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USM Annaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
USM
1 - 0
TLE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
ORA
1 - 0
USM
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
USM
2 - 0
AML
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2002 |
USM
5 - 1
USM
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2002 |
USM
1 - 1
JSK
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |