Mbarara City vs Onduparaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 0
MCF
47%
27%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 0
SCV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 2
VIP
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
MCF
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Onduparaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
OND
1 - 1
WAK
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
OND
1 - 1
EXP
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
2 - 1
OND
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OND
1 - 0
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
VIP
1 - 0
OND
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |