Mbao vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 0
MBA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
RUV
1 - 0
MBA
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
COA
1 - 1
MBA
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
TAN
44%
31%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
SIM
26%
30%
44%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 1
KMC
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
MTI
2 - 1
BUM
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 0
MWA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
AFR
0 - 2
MTI
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
NDA
2 - 1
MTI
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |