Mauritius vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MUS
3 - 0
SYC
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
MUS
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
MUS
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SWZ
5 - 6
MUS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MUS
3 - 0
SYC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 2
SDN
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
4 - 0
SYC
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 5
SYC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SYC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |