Mauaense vs Jabaquara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAU
2 - 0
TAB
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
MAU
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAU
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAU
1 - 2
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAU
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Jabaquara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
JAB
1 - 0
DIA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
JAB
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JAB
4 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JAB
2 - 1
MAN
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
JAB
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |