Mauá vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 2
MFC
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAU
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
MFC
26%
26%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
MOG
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BEB
0 - 1
TUP
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 1
TUP
29%
22%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AEA
3 - 1
TUP
26%
21%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |