Non League Premier North round 17

Matlock Town vs Bamber Bridge analysis

Matlock Town Bamber Bridge
38 ELO 40
5.2% Tilt -3.1%
6723º General ELO ranking 7516º
250º Country ELO ranking 286º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Matlock Town
22.1%
Draw
40.4%
Bamber Bridge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Matlock Town
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.4%
Win probability
Bamber Bridge
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Matlock Town
-4%
+9%
Bamber Bridge

Points and table prediction

Matlock Town
Their league position
Bamber Bridge
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
12º
22º
19º
52
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Macclesfield Town
109
109
100%
Worksop Town
83
83
100%
Stockton Town
75
75
100%
Guiseley
74
74
100%
Ashton United
69
69
100%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
100%
Gainsborough Trinity
64
64
100%
Morpeth Town
62
62
100%
Hyde
57
57
0%
Prescot Cables
10º
57
57
10º
0%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
11º
56
56
11º
100%
Workington
12º
52
52
12º
100%
Bamber Bridge
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Hebburn Town
14º
52
52
14º
0%
Leek Town
15º
52
52
15º
0%
Whitby Town
16º
52
52
16º
0%
United of Manchester
17º
51
51
17º
100%
Lancaster City
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Matlock Town
19º
45
45
19º
100%
Mickleover Sports FC
20º
39
39
20º
100%
Basford United
21º
37
37
21º
100%
Blyth Spartans
22º
18
18
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Matlock Town
Bamber Bridge
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Matlock Town
Bamber Bridge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Matlock Town
Matlock Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
STO
Stockton Town
1 - 0
Matlock Town
MAT
71%
17%
12%
37 49 12 0
29 Oct. 2024
MAT
Matlock Town
2 - 3
Macclesfield Town
MAC
13%
20%
67%
38 58 20 -1
22 Oct. 2024
MAT
Matlock Town
1 - 1
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
RYL
31%
25%
43%
38 46 8 0
19 Oct. 2024
MAT
Matlock Town
3 - 2
Basford United
BAS
35%
26%
39%
37 44 7 +1
12 Oct. 2024
HEB
Hebburn Town
0 - 2
Matlock Town
MAT
71%
17%
12%
35 46 11 +2

Matches

Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
BAM
Bamber Bridge
1 - 2
Morpeth Town
MOR
48%
22%
30%
41 42 1 0
26 Oct. 2024
WOR
Workington
2 - 3
Bamber Bridge
BAM
37%
24%
39%
41 40 1 0
19 Oct. 2024
BAM
Bamber Bridge
4 - 0
United of Manchester
UNM
45%
23%
33%
39 41 2 +2
15 Oct. 2024
BAM
Bamber Bridge
1 - 5
Stockton Town
STO
43%
24%
33%
41 46 5 -2
12 Oct. 2024
BAS
Basford United
3 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
44%
24%
32%
42 43 1 -1