Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAI
2 - 0
MAT
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHE
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
MAT
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 3
KCB
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
THI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
SON
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
THI
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 0
BAN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |