Matelica Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIS
2 - 1
MAT
28%
29%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCS
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 1
FER
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 1
MAT
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASC
4 - 1
MAT
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 0
RAV
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ASG
0 - 2
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |